As the United States navigates its foreign policy towards Iran, five critical risks loom large by 2026.
First, nuclear proliferation remains a significant concern, particularly as Iran continues to advance its nuclear capabilities, potentially igniting regional arms races.
Second, escalating tensions could lead to military confrontations, especially in hotspots like the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran’s influence over oil shipping lanes poses strategic challenges.
Third, sanctions may foster domestic dissent, but they could also lead to increased Iranian nationalism, complicating diplomatic efforts.
Fourth, the rise of proxy conflicts, particularly involving groups like Hezbollah and militant factions in Iraq and Syria, threatens U.S. interests and allies in the region.
Finally, global alliances are shifting; U.S. relations with traditional allies, such as Saudi Arabia and Israel, could be further strained as Iran strengthens ties with Russia and China. Addressing these risks is crucial for a balanced and effective U.S. approach to Iran.
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